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VOL. 42 | NO. 37 | Friday, September 14, 2018

FedEx downplays US-China trade spat's impact on its business

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DALLAS (AP) — Shortly before the Trump administration announced a new round of tariffs against Chinese goods, FedEx Corp. leaders tried to assure investors Monday that a widening trade war will have little direct effect on the company.

However, Chairman and CEO Fred Smith renewed his criticism of tariffs, which he said inevitably hurt economic growth.

FedEx said that just 2 percent of its revenue comes from shipments between the U.S. and China. About one-fourth of those goods will now be affected by tariffs, executives said, after the White House said it will impose tariffs starting next week on an additional $200 billion in Chinese goods.

Uncertainty about new tariffs — on top of previous duties aimed at $50 billion worth of Chinese imports — "is affecting the market, and we are beginning to see some of the economic activity in China starting to moderate as a result," Executive Vice President Rajesh Subramaniam said on a conference call to discuss FedEx's latest financial results.

Smith called the trade dispute worrisome.

"History is very, very clear that countries that pursue the most open market are the ones that prosper the most and whose citizens' income increases the most," he said. "History shows that people want to travel and trade."

The comments came as FedEx reported a $835 million profit in the quarter that ended Aug. 31, a 40 percent increase from a year ago. The Memphis, Tennessee-based company was boosted by the growing economy, lower taxes and changing habits of American shoppers, who buy more of their goods online than ever before.

Still, the results fell short of Wall Street expectations, and FedEx shares fell in after-hours trading.

FedEx and rival United Parcel Service Inc. are benefiting from strong pricing power as online shopping continues to boom. Some analysts predict that growing global demand, along with consumers' expectations for speedy delivery of their online purchases, will help the company heading into the crucial Christmas shopping season.

Adjust earnings were $3.46 a share, excluding the cost of combining Dutch acquisition TNT Express into its own business — significant costs that FedEx expects will continue "over the next few years."

Analysts were expecting adjusted earnings of $3.78 per share, according to a Zacks Investment Research survey of 11 analysts.

Daniel Sherman, an analyst for Edward Jones, said Wall Street underestimated FedEx's increased spending on employee compensation after passage of the law that cut corporate income tax rates.

"You end up with really solid underlying earnings growth," Sherman said. "The business is still quite solid."

FedEx reported a benefit of 50 cents per share from the lower corporate tax rates that President Donald Trump signed into law in December.

Revenue rose 11 percent to $17.05 billion, topping the Zacks survey forecast of $16.88 billion.

The company raised its forecast of earnings for the fiscal year that runs through next May by 20 cents per share, to between $17.20 and $17.80 per share. Before the report, analysts surveyed by FactSet had expected $17.38.

FedEx shares closed up 29 cents, at $255.73. In after-hours trading, they were down $6.93, or 2.7 percent, to $248.80.

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David Koenig can be reached at http://twitter.com/airlinewriter

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